Basketball favorite betting strategy

You can bet on the favorite in basketball for odds above 2.00. We tell you when and how to catch odds in live.

A bet on the favorite in basketball usually comes with odds below 1.70. At a distance, you will go into the red due to margins and sensations. In this article, we will learn how to choose matches for betting on favorites in basketball and increase the odds due to the handicap.

How to choose matches for betting on the favorite in basketball

In the strategy of betting on basketball on the favorite, pre-match selection of games is important. It makes no sense to bet on a strong team with odds of 1.10-1.40.

At a distance, such strategies of betting on the victory of the favorites lead to a minus.

During match selection, look for matches where the favorite has a high probability of winning with a handicap of ten or more.

Various factors contribute to this.

• Favorite plays at home and wants to please his fans.
• The hosts lost in the last match and want to rehabilitate.
• All key performers of the favorite came to the match in good shape.
• The hosts have tournament motivation.
• The home team wins many matches in a row and wants to set a club record for the winning streak.
• The coach's increased motivation is a possible resignation due to a defeat, an unconvincing game, or vice versa - the upcoming signing of a new contract.

Basketball betting strategy for the favorite of the game

In order for the remote strategy of betting on the favorite to make a profit, increase the odds to the level of 2.50-3.50. This is done using a negative handicap.

If the favorite has a coefficient to win the match is 1.50-1.60, then the handicap from (-6) to (-8) will go for about 2.50-2.70. The ability to choose the right game will play a special role.

For example, let's take the Euroleague match between Khimki and Fenerbahce, which took place on March 6, 2020. Khimki played at home and were considered the favourites.

Their victory was given a coefficient of 1.60. But with a handicap (-7) it was possible to bet for 2.50, and with (-8) - for 2.80.

These ratios were value based on a number of factors:

• The hosts were in good shape: they won several matches in the VTB United League and in the Euroleague.
• Khimki wanted to redeem themselves for their unfortunate defeat in the previous round of the Euroleague against Zalgiris.
• All players of the starting five of the Russian team approached the match in excellent shape.

Therefore, a bet with a handicap (-7) or (-8) was justified. As a result, Khimki won with a score of 82-68.

Quarterly Basketball Favorite Betting

Another opportunity to catch good odds is betting on the favorite in quarters in basketball.

Here, two options are most often used:

1. A bet with a negative handicap for the first quarter. The favorite can create an advantage at the very beginning of the match.
2. A bet on the victory of the favorite in one of the quarters in live. If an outsider wins during the match, you can check the favorite with a handicap in the next game segment.

We will also analyze both of these strategies for betting on basketball in quarters using the example of the aforementioned match between Khimki and Fenerbahce:

1. For the first quarter, the bet "Winning the hosts with a handicap (-3.5)" went with a coefficient of 2.50. She played, as this ten-minute ended with a score of 26-18.
2. Khimki lost the second ten-minute period with a score of 15-22. In the next quarters, the hosts had to add. Therefore, in the third victory, "Khimki" was for 1.40. But the handicap (-4.5) was available for 2.40. Such a live bet would have brought a win, as the result of the quarter is 23-14 in favor of the hosts.

Thus, in one game it was possible to make three reasonable bets on the favorite. By winning the match, the home team would have made a good profit.

But if you lose a bet for the first quarter, you could get a plus in the next ten minutes in live.

Basketball is suitable for betting on favorites due to the choice of events in live: a quarter, a half, the whole match and a possible overtime.

Learn to match games where a stronger opponent is most motivated to win big.