Betting on an outsider in football can be profitable over a distance even if the pass rate is less than 30%. It's all about high odds. In this article, we will analyze the features of betting on outsiders in football and what criteria are used to select matches for betting on underdogs.
Why it is profitable to bet on underdogs
The betting strategy against the favorite can give a solid plus at a distance or allow you to hit the jackpot with a single bet. In bookmakers, the odds for an underdog to win can reach large values. Usually these are quotes in the range from 4.00 to 7.00, sometimes even higher odds are offered.
For profit over a long distance, betting on underdogs at the indicated coefficients, it is enough to win one bet out of four.
On the victory of the favorite, they offer to bet with a low odds. You need to guess three out of four results or even more to stay in the black.
When to bet on the underdog in football
The outsider betting strategy involves a careful selection of events. In most cases, you will bet on a weak team if a number of factors contribute to this.
Why it is profitable to bet on underdogs
The betting strategy against the favorite can give a solid plus at a distance or allow you to hit the jackpot with a single bet. In bookmakers, the odds for an underdog to win can reach large values. Usually these are quotes in the range from 4.00 to 7.00, sometimes even higher odds are offered.
For profit over a long distance, betting on underdogs at the indicated coefficients, it is enough to win one bet out of four.
On the victory of the favorite, they offer to bet with a low odds. You need to guess three out of four results or even more to stay in the black.
When to bet on the underdog in football
The outsider betting strategy involves a careful selection of events. In most cases, you will bet on a weak team if a number of factors contribute to this.
- Look at the history of personal meetings. Many strong clubs have uncomfortable opponents who regularly take away points from them.
- Stay tuned for team changes. If a stronger club, according to the bookmaker, has disqualified or injured leading players, you can bet against the favorite.
- Consider your field factor. Underdogs are often much better at home games where they regularly score points. On the road outsiders lose more often.
- Assess team motivation. For example, at the end of the season, the favorite can already solve all the tournament tasks and take a less responsible approach to football matches. In such meetings, coaches sometimes release a backup team.
Underdog betting strategies
In addition to betting on a clear victory, there are other strategies for betting on outsiders in football.
Outsider Goal Betting
As part of this strategy, bet live. Before the start of the match, the odds per goal performed by the underdog are not always higher than 1.70. Watch the game and wait for the increase in quotes for the outsider's goal scored to at least 2.00. Then place the appropriate bet.
Betting on an outsider to win with a plus handicap
In this case, you can bet before the match or during the game. Choose a fight in which the underdog has a good chance of not losing devastatingly. Take on his victory with a plus handicap.
For example, in the match for the French Super Cup in 2019 PSG - Rennes, bets on the victory of the second team with a handicap (+2) were accepted with odds of 1.88. At the same time, Rennes conceded few goals and in the previous personal meeting with the Parisians in the country's cup final lost only in a penalty shootout.
PSG won that match 2-1. A bet with a plus handicap on an outsider went.
Pros and cons of the underdog betting strategy in football
The benefits of such a strategy include:
- A large number of football matches almost all year round. This provides a large selection of sports events to bet on.
- All bookmakers accept bets on football, offering a wide range of events and a relatively small margin in major tournaments.
- You can significantly increase your game bank with a series of several visits in a row.