Football betting strategies help fans of the most popular sport to beat bookmakers. In this article, we will analyze 10 football betting schemes, including one win-win.
What is a sports betting strategy
The betting strategy is the rules and principles that the players of bookmakers have derived from personal experience.
Having chosen a strategy, you must follow its recommendations. Before playing for real money, it is better to test any strategy on a betting simulator. You can also enter each selected bet in the table without risking money.
No. 1. Double chance betting strategy
A double chance bet is a single bet on a match that wins on two out of three possible outcomes. There are three choices in the double chance market:
- 1X - victory of the first team or a draw.
- X2 - victory of the second team or a draw.
- 12 - victory of the first or second team.
Bet on double chance in three cases:
- Favorite insurance. If the odds for a clear victory of the favorite are 1.95, then you can bet on 1X for about 1.30. If you doubt the success of the owners, but want to make a big bet, then you should take 1X.
- Outsider bet. Choose matches where the favorite has problems with the composition, motivation, and fatigue has accumulated. Double chance for an outsider and a draw will be at a high odds.
- Bet against a draw. Choose a bet of 12 if there are opponents who are satisfied only with a victory.
No. 2. Betting strategy on total goals in the first half
The coefficient for the same TO is always higher in the first half than in the second. Bet on total over 1 with odds of at least 1.50. Otherwise, play total over 1.5 to increase your potential profit. Choose a match of teams that attack without reconnaissance. To increase the coefficient, wait 5-10 minutes and bet live.
No. 3. Catch-up betting strategy
Catching up is a betting strategy in which, after each loss, you increase the amount of the next bet or odds so that the first win brings a profit. In the classic version of catch-up, known as martingale, you always bet on odds of 2.00 and after losing, double your next bet.
For example, you choose a team whose matches have played under 2.5 goals several times in a row. Then you bet on total over 2.5 goals in her meetings until you win, while increasing the amount of the bet after each failure. If you bet on odds of 2.00 every time, just double your bet amount. If the odds are different, use this formula to determine the bet amount after each loss: (Loss + Target Profit) / (Odds - 1).
No. 4. Late goals betting strategy
You bet that at least one more goal will be scored in the match in the 75th minute. If the ratio is much lower than 1.80, then wait for the 80th minute.
To select matches, use 4 criteria:
- There are many dangerous moments in the meeting.
- None of the teams has a clear advantage in the score.
- A scoring player came on as a replacement.
- In the match, the total over expected by the bookmakers was not broken.
No. 5. Draw betting strategy
Bookmakers usually give odds of around 3.50 or more on a draw in a football match. And betting on a draw can be profitable.
To select matches, use 4 criteria:
- There are a lot of draws in the tournament.
- A draw in the match will suit both teams.
- Rivals often draw with each other in recent years.
- Teams often draw in the last rounds.
No. 6. Oscar Grind Strategy
You plan in advance the percentage of profit that you want to receive for a betting cycle. The first bet is equal to the desired percentage of profit. If successful, you start a new cycle.
You need to bet with a coefficient of 2.00. Keep your bet amount when you lose and double your bet when you win, if the cycle is not closed yet.
For example, your bank is 5000 dollars. You want to get 10% profit, that is, 500 dollars. You bet 500 dollars with a coefficient of 2.10. If you win, you will receive 1050 dollars: 500 X 2.10. Net profit will be 550 dollars. The cycle is closed.
In case of loss on the first bet, you make the second bet in the amount of 500 dollars with a coefficient of 2.05. With another failure, you again bet 500 dollars with a coefficient of 2.00. If you win, you bet 1000 dollars with a coefficient of 2.15. The entry will exceed the desired profit and close the cycle.
Total: you placed 4 bets in the amount of 2500 dollars, and the payouts were 1000 dollars: 500 X 2.00 and 2150 dollars: 1000 X 2.15. Net profit is 650 dollars: 1000 + 2150 - 2500.
No. 7. Flat betting strategy
You bet a fixed amount on every bet, regardless of the odds or the size of the pot.
For example, your pot is $5,000 and you decide to bet $100 on each selection. With this strategy, you will not lose the pot instantly, but it will be difficult to make money.
According to the betting strategy, flat is placed on the exact score in football, and on outcomes, and on yellow cards. This is a basic pot management strategy that is suitable for any type of bet.
No. 8. Total betting strategy in football
Bet on total goals over 2.5 by choosing a match according to the following criteria:
- There are two attacking teams.
- The top scorers of the opponents are in good shape.
- A draw does not suit either team.
- Lawn and weather do not interfere with the attack.
- In past matches of opponents, TB 2.5 often took place.
- Both teams have played more goalscoring matches this season.
No. 9. Corner betting strategy
Bet on the favorite to win on corners if the following conditions are met:
- We play the favorite at home.
- Wing players of the hosts often make backaches than shifts to the center.
- The favorite in attack has a high forward.
- The outsider is defended by the whole team.
No. 10. Win-win arb strategy
A fork is an opportunity to bet on opposite outcomes of one event and get a guaranteed profit.
For example, in one bookmaker's office, the total number of goals over 2.5 for the Chelsea-Liverpool match is at odds of 2.05. And in the other - TM 2.5 is available for 2.08. If you bet 1000 dollars on both outcomes, you will make a profit in any case.
Some people think surebets is the best football betting strategy because it is the only safe bet. But there are also some cons:
- You need large sums of money at several bookmakers.
- Your account may be blocked or your maximum bet may be limited.