Bets on yellow cards can be predicted by following basic principles. Profit is able to bring a long-term strategy of playing on "mustard plasters". Learn the distance rules for betting on yellow cards to increase your chances of making money on this market.
What are yellow cards in football and why they are given
What are yellow cards in football and why they are given
A yellow card in football is a warning for gross violations of the rules. The word "warning" means that the following will entail removal from the field.
Yellow cards are issued for:
- gross violations that can lead to an injury to an opponent: a tackle from behind, a kick with a straight leg, exposed elbows in a jump, and others;
- unsportsmanlike behavior: provocations of opponents, conversations with the referee, gestures to fans, and so on;
- delay of time: the ball is not introduced for a long time from the standard, an injury is simulated;
- simulations: falling in the absence of contact from a player of the other team;
- interrupting a dangerous attack by another team;
- intentional handplay.
What types of bets on yellow cards do bookmakers offer?
Bookmakers offer a wide range of bets on yellow cards:
- victory of one of the teams or a draw;
- handicap by the number of mustard plasters;
- general and individual totals;
- whether individual players will receive warnings;
- betting options by time: the whole match, by halves, by separate time periods, for example, from the first to the tenth minute;
- the first or last warning in the game: which of the teams will be presented, in what period of time, and so on.
Special rules for betting on LCD at bookmakers
When planning to bet on yellow cards in bookmakers, study the special rules for this market:
- the second yellow card is not counted for the player, but goes towards the red ones;
- "yellow plasters" to substituted, substitute players and coaches are not taken into account;
- the card shown during the break goes to the statistics of the second half;
- warnings shown after the final whistle are not taken into account.
Football yellow card betting strategy
Variations of the mustard plaster betting strategy may be different, but for playing at a distance, we recommend choosing the “total TO in the match” market. In doing so, adhere to the following principles.
- Give preference to total over betting markets. Based on the statistics, select the teams that, on average, receive no more than one warning. But in any match, a conflict situation can develop, pulling numerous “mustard plasters” behind it. If the clubs play consistently rough, receiving 3-5 cards in a match, then bet on the total of yellow cards “More”.
- Select a list of 15-20 "favorite clubs" based on statistical data. Their average number of yellow cards per match must be at least four.
- Find matches of "sworn rivals" in the line. In every championship there are such pairs, for example, Roma - Lazio in Italy, Partizan - Red Star in Serbia, Dynamo - Shakhtar in Ukraine. In meetings between such rivals, experts have at least 6-7 mustard plasters.
- Watch selected matches to profitably place a live bet. If in the pre-match on TB 4.5 the coefficient is 1.50, then by the 30th minute it will rise to 1.80-2.00 in the absence of warnings.
What factors to consider when analyzing and choosing matches
When evaluating the probability of a bet on the total yellow, consider the following criteria.
- Referee statistics. Refereeing style is a basic factor in evaluating such a bet. Arbitrators react differently to gross violations. Choose matches run by referees who give at least six warnings per game.
- Attacking tactics of the favorite team. If fast and technical football is preferred when building attacks, then opponents will often flagrantly violate the rules and receive mustard plasters.
- Warning statistics regularly received by defensive midfielders of both teams. Players in this position most often earn LCD. They interrupt attacks at a safe distance from their own goal. Defenders are forced to play more carefully, as they violate near the penalty area or within it.
- Score in the second half. If the clear favorite does not win by the 60th minute of the match, bet on yellow card TOs at odds of around 2.00. An outsider will break more often under the onslaught of a strong opponent. From the side of the weak team, time delays will begin, and for this reason warnings are also given. With this factor in mind, take TB live.
- Individual player statistics. Every team has noteworthy rude people. Their presence in the starting lineup increases the chance of betting on total over yellow cards.
Financial Management Rules
Today, all bookmakers accept bets on the quantitative indicators of yellow cards in a match. At the same time, bookmakers give an average margin for this popular market and do not set strict limits. Therefore, you can bet large amounts. While following the distance strategy of betting on yellow cards in football, adhere to the principles of financial management:
- choose a restrictive betting strategy: flat, Kelly principle and others;
- bet no more than 1-3% of the total bank per event: 5% per bet - high risk at a distance;
- choose odds at the level of 1.80-2.20;
- calculate your ROI once a week: with a minus of more than 15%, review the principles by which you choose betting options;
- do not consider short-term losses if the strategy is tested and gave a good profit for six to seven months.